December in
Review
Finance Minister makes call for lower rates, weaker forint
HUNGARY'S FINANCE MINISTER TIBOR DRASKOVICS REPEATED THE
GOVERNMENT'S CALL FOR LOWER INTEREST RATES AND A WEAKER FORINT,
THOUGH HE LEFT THE EXTENT TO WHICH RATES SHOULD DROP UP TO
THE CENTRAL BANK. Draskovics said the government would like
to see interest rates and the forint's exchange rate in harmony
with the inflation target and the economic situation of the
country. "The government does not believe that it is
possible to improve long-term competitiveness through sudden,
drastic measures, even exchange rate policy measures",
Draskovics said at a conference organized by KPMG. He added
that the government is in agreement with the view that the
central bank must act with due caution because of investors'
sensitivity. Draskovics said the economy must now operate
with a demand-restrictive budget, high interest rates and
a very strong forint, which restricts growth and puts exporters
and SMEs at a real disadvantage. Draskovics said general
government income centralization would decrease half a percentage
point in 2005, including a HUF 100 billion fall in personal
income taxes, as the result of new tax laws. The new tax
laws will stimulate investments and create jobs. Draskovics
said companies should take into account the lower income
tax and slower inflation rate when deciding how much they
will raise wages next year. Draskovics said high VAT rates,
high local taxes and substantial payroll costs would be the
biggest three problems in terms of taxation in 2005.
The minister said he would support setting up a committee,
which included representatives of government and tax consultancy
firms, to draft a schedule to optimize tax revenue by 2006.
Draskovics said company tax would not be harmonized throughout
the EU in the foreseeable future, in spite of a campaign
by Germany and France to do so. He added that the most to
be expected was a harmonization of the method of calculation
for the company tax base. When asked about Hungary's simplified
business tax, known by its Hungarian acronym, "EVA," Draskovics
said, "EVA still has a promising future." Draskovics
said EVA encouraged companies to do their best, and to pay
their fair due to the central budget. The government wants
more businesses to be eligible for EVA, including small businesses,
which work with high operating costs.
Ecostat forecasts 3.8% GDP growth in 2005
ECONOMIC RESEARCH INSTITUTE ECOSTAT RAISED ITS FORECAST
FOR GDP GROWTH IN 2004 FROM 3.9% TO 4% IN ITS LATEST FORECAST.
Ecostat puts GDP growth in 2005 at 3.8%. Ecostat projects
investment growth of 12.7% in 2004, compared to 11.7%
in
its earlier forecast. Investment growth will slow to
8% in 2005, according to Ecostat. Ecostat also raised its
forecast for the 2004 increase of household consumption
from 3% to 3.4%. This year's household consumption is
expected
to accelerate slightly to 3.5%. Ecostat expects an ESA
general government deficit equivalent to 5.2% of GDP
in 2004. This year Ecostat forecasts a deficit of 5% of GDP,
well over the government target of 4.6% contained in
the
2005 budget. However, adjusting for payments into private
pension funds, Ecostat forecasted a deficit equivalent
to 4.4% of GDP in 2004, under the government target of
4.5%. Ecostat put the deficit for 2005 at 4.1%, calculating
again for the pension fund payments, compared to the
official target of 3.8%. The central bank base rate would
be 10%
at the end of 2004 and 8.5% at the end of 2005, according
to Ecostat.
SkyEurope closes successful year, promises expansion
SKYEUROPE, THE BRATISLAVA-BASED CARRIER THAT BILLS ITSELF
CENTRAL EUROPE’S FIRST LOW-COST AIRLINE, IS TO LAUNCH
FOUR OR FIVE NEW ROUTES FROM HUNGARY DURING THE PEAK TRAVEL
SEASON NEXT SUMMER, while currently pursuing marketing
efforts to business passengers, Christian Mandl, SkyEurope
CEO told the media in Budapest. Speaking on the first
anniversary
of SkyEurope Hungary’s inaugural flights from Budapest
to Paris and London, Mandl said the Magyar subsidiary
was already making an operating profit, having exceeded the
business plan by flying nearly 263,000 passengers in
its
first 12 months of operation against the 200,000 target.
These figures were boosted by excellent third quarter traffic,
when SkyEurope Hungary carried 102,000 passengers, with the
load factor, a crucial operating figure, averaging 78% over
the three months, and topping 80% in August. "We are
seen as the airline of Central Europe, with 35 routes to
19 destinations covering 70% of the population of the ‘New
Europe’,” Mandl said.
While declining to name the planned new destinations from
Budapest, he said business customers already made up between
10-15% of passengers, and were increasingly attracted to
well-serviced routes to centers such as Amsterdam, London
and Milan. "From Bratislava we take all the France-bound
traffic for the Peugeot car plant in Slovakia, for example.
We are talking here about annual passenger numbers of five-digit
figures," he said. As part of its drive to increase
its share of the corporate market, the carrier has introduced
a bulk ticket system, "SkyAbo," allowing clients
to buy discounted ticket packets, valid for one year, for
a fixed price. These deals start with a minimum carnet of
20 tickets. "This helps businesses both in terms of
planning costs and in reducing the administration burden," he
said. In what appeared to be a general swipe at his rivals,
Alain Skowronek, SkyEurope chairman, said that while there
had been an explosion of cheap airlines in the region, many
of the new carriers "will not be successful, because
they are under-financed." Skorownek continued with what
appeared to be a direct swipe at arch-competitor WizzAir,
saying SkyEurope’s service package, which includes flying
to airports convenient for large cities, was proving successful.
He cited his own airline’s use of Orly, 15 km from Paris,
while Beauvais (WizzAir’s destination airport in France)
was an inconvenient "80 km distance" from the French
capital.
Kester Eddy
TNT Worldwide Express invested
HUF 120 million
in IT system last year The Hungarian subsidiary of TNT, Hungary's
leading provider of express delivery
and logistics services, has invested HUF 470 million
in its IT system over the last three years, including
HUF
120 million in 2004 alone. The IT system allows TNT's
clients, big and small businesses alike, to track their
deliveries
securely on the Internet. TNT Worldwide Express Hungary
had revenue of HUF 6.92 billion in 2003, up 23.8% from
2002. The company spent a total of HUF 576 million
on developments in 2004.
Hungary buys Gripen missiles from
US
HUNGARY SIGNED A
CONTRACT WITH THE US GOVERNMENT TO PURCHASE MISSILES FOR
ITS GRIPEN FIGHTER AIRCRAFT FOR AN UNDISCLOSED
AMOUNT. The purchase is part of a gross HUF 27.3 billion
worth of weaponry that Hungary will buy for the aircraft,
but not necessarily from the US. Chief political advisor
to the Minister of Defense, Nándor Hollósi, told Econews
that the contract for Advanced Medium-Range Air to
Air Missiles (AMRAAM) for Hungary's 14 Gripen JAS32 fighters
was signed two days after the government approved the
purchase. The US government will buy the missiles from
Raytheon,
a big defense contractor, and resell them to Hungary.
Under US laws on arms trading, only the government may
sell the
missiles. The US government will also guarantee the
quality
of the missiles. Public procurement procedures for
the acquisition of other Gripen weaponry will start in January
and February 2005, Hollósi said.
OTP bank chief nearly
doubles personal wealth
THE CHAIRMAN AND CHIEF EXECUTIVE OF HUNGARY'S LARGEST RETAIL
BANK, OTP, has increased his personal wealth from HUF
17 billion to HUF 30 billion (EUR 121 million) in one
year and leapt forward four places to be Hungary's 5th richest
person on publisher Ringier's 2004 Top 100 list of
the
wealthiest Hungarians.
When journalists who compiled the list asked the richest
people to name who they perceive to be the best heeled, OTP
CEO Sándor Csányi scored another victory.
Business tycoon Gábor Várszegi, owner of the retail group
Fotex and many other investments, topped the list for the
third time with his personal assets running at HUF 46 billion,
unchanged from 2003.
Developer Sándor Demján also retained his second place with
an unchanged HUF 45 billion. But industrialist Gábor Szeles
moved up to third place by boosting his wealth from HUF 32
billion to HUF 45 billion, knocking down Tamás Leisztinger,
the leader of the investment group Arago who increased his
wealth only slightly to HUF 37.5 billion, to fourth place.
The only newcomer in the club of the 10 wealthiest Hungarians
is Gábor Kovács, the chief of investment group Bankár Holding.
The editors of the list, some 20 business journalists, took
account of assets held by the family of the individuals and
relied on information available to the public, such as company
reports and company court registers.
A statement by publisher Ringier noted that there is a legal
dispute between Ringier and Menedzser Magazin, which earlier
published a list of the same names.
A comparison of the two lists shows some significant discrepancies.
Menedzser Magazin's list is led by Szeles and Demján, with
HUF 50 billion each, while Várszegi is third with assets
of "only" HUF 40 billion.
Economics Minister on
gas price increases
JÁNOS KÓKA, THE NEWLY APPOINTED MINISTER OF ECONOMICS AND
TRANSPORT ADMITS HE IS "LEARNING FAST" ON THE
SUBJECT OF ENERGY. He has to. With the price of gas fast
following oil to record highs on world markets, Hungary,
heavily dependent on imported gas, is facing a massive
energy bill. Press reports have put the potential hike
as high as 20%. Meanwhile, the gas price regulation thrashed
out by the previous government of Péter Medgyessy denies
the government any possibility of saving on gas prices
by squeezing MOL, which imports the gas - the method used
in 2001 by the Orbán regime. "It is obvious that we
cannot make the whole society suffer from such a huge leap
in gas prices. The task is to see how we can mitigate the
burden on the population," he says.
To do this, authorities are working to calculate what new
gas prices should be, and then examine "what budget
and other instruments" are available to ease gas hikes
- in other words, some kind of subsidy. Kóka is aware, however,
of the dangers of artificially depressing prices and creating
differences between households and businesses. "If we
do not take the interests of the economic players, small
and medium enterprises, into account, we create tension within
the economy. We do not want this," he says. Such distortion
is not only economically damaging if it becomes permanent,
it is also legally questionable under EU law. Whatever the
outcome, Kóka pledges the solution will be "very transparent.
I want my colleagues to do this as quickly as possible for
the benefit of the public," he says.
Kester Eddy
Pick fined HUF 30 million for misleading consumers The Competition
Office (GVH) fined salami maker Pick Szeged HUF 30 million
for misleading consumers by printing "No.1" on
16 of its products without supplying evidence to back up
the claim of superiority compared to its rivals' products,
GVH announced. GVH noted that Pick had already been fined
HUF 1 million in June last year for the same misconduct.
Claiming as fact something that is not proven by hard evidence
is a breach of the law, the GVH statement said.
Hungarian
banks half as efficient, twice as profitable as other EU
banks
HUNGARIAN BANKS CHARGE RETAIL CLIENTS MORE FOR MONEY AND
HAVE A WIDER INTEREST MARGIN THAN THEIR COUNTERPARTS
IN OTHER EU COUNTRIES. They also make about twice as much
on their
equity as do other banks in the EU, a trend that cannot
continue, according to the head of Volksbank's Hungarian
subsidiary.
Magyarországi Volksbank Chairman/CEO László Balázs outlined
the situation facing Hungary's banking sector at a conference
organized by the Central European Business Center in
Budapest.
Hungarian banks' return on equity (ROE) - currently 25-26%
on average, compared to the EU average of 10-15% - is
set to drop in a few years, Balázs said.
The net interest revenue of Hungarian banks accounts for
3.8% of total assets, as against 1.51% in the EU. Hungarian
banks' revenue from fees and commissions accounts for 1.21%
of total assets, as against .7% in the EU.
Retail loans are the motor behind Hungarian banks' profitability.
The margin on corporate loans is less than the EU average
as fierce competition on the market for corporate loans has
made credit for businesses cheaper. In fact, many Hungarian
subsidiaries of foreign companies find it less expensive
to take out a loan from a Hungarian bank than to take out
a loan from their parent company. Corporate loans will get
even cheaper when Hungary adopts the euro, cutting sharply
into revenue from currency conversion. Banks are, instead,
capitalizing on the strong demand for retail loans, as consumers
finally make purchases they may have put off for years.
Even as Hungarian banks are doubly profitable, they are
half as efficient. Operating costs account for 3.47% of Hungarian
banks' total assets, as against 1.71% in the EU.
Hungarian banks' period of profitability has served the
sector's expansion well. Contrasting earlier predictions,
banks continue to open branches and the country should catch
up with the EU average by 2007. There are 12 universal banks
on the market, including big banks such as OTP, K&H,
CIB, Erste Bank, HVB Bank, Magyar Külkereskedelmi Bank and
Raiffeisen Bank with nationwide branch networks, while medium-sized
banks such as Budapest Bank, Citibank, Magyarországi Volksbank
carve out niche markets. Smaller banks, especially those
that operate just one branch, are likely to end up as the
branch of their foreign parent bank or being sold and absorbed
into bigger chains.
Hungary sets emissions quota at 93.7 million tons for 2005-2007
HUNGARY'S GOVERNMENT HAS SET THE QUOTA FOR GREENHOUSE GAS
EMISSIONS AT 93.7 MILLION TONS FOR THE PERIOD 2005-2007.
The figure is contained in Hungary's National Allocation
Plan, which outlines for the EU how Hungary will distribute
the quota among businesses.
The government will distribute the so-called carbon credits
to businesses free of charge in February 2005, with the exception
of 2.5% of the credits, which the state will auction off.
The sale of these credits should generate HUF 1.7 -3.4 billion.
Half the revenue from the sale will go toward the Ministry
of Economics and Transport to be spent on renewable energy
projects, and the rest will be spent on environmental projects
under the auspice of the Ministry of the Environment. The
state will distribute the carbon credits to 170 companies
under guidelines established in the Kyoto Protocol. Under
the protocol Hungary aims to cut its emissions of greenhouse
gases in 2008-2012 by 6% from their levels in 1985-1987.
Hungary's emissions were already 30% under the 1985-1987
average, according to figures from the Ministry of the Environment,
but the ministry expects emissions to increase by 2010 to
a level just 6.92% less than the level in 1985-1987. Some
market observers dispute this figure and say Hungary will
have surplus carbon credits equivalent to a 15-20% reduction
in emissions by the end of the decade. Energy companies will
get the most of the carbon credits. Steel makers, cement
factories, refineries and ceramics makers will also get credits.
Companies that do not use up all of their credits may sell
them to other companies, although they must apply for a license
before doing so. The credits are trading for about EUR 5
per unit on the global market.
Risk management in the new century
DUNN & BRADSTREET
(D&B) HUNGÁRIA KFT., THE HUNGARIAN
SUBSIDIARY OF THE LEADING PROVIDER OF BUSINESS-TO-BUSINESS
CREDIT, marketing, purchasing, receivables management and
decision-support services worldwide, organized a seminar
focusing on business information and modern risk management
in Budapest. Speakers included Gábor Molnár, Managing Director
at (D&B) Hungária, Alíz Rekecki, BW specialist at SAP
Hungary, Gábor Freidler, head of the Hungarian Parliamentary
Data Protection office, Judit Török, judge at Hungary’s High
Court of Justice and Iván Vadász, tax specialist and vice
president of the National Association of Hungarian Tax Advisors.
Molnár introduced (D&B) Hungária and the services the
company offers, including risk management and sales and marketing
services. The speaker also discussed the difference in information
demand depending on company size as well as the latest market
trends regarding business information services. Rekecki touched
upon the role of SAP Business Intelligence in corporate networks.
SAP Business Intelligence provides all the capabilities businesses
need to identify, integrate, and analyze disparate business
data from heterogeneous sources, according to the speaker.
Freidler’s discussed the right to personal data protection,
its legal background and the possible consequences of illegal
data management. He also highlighted some of the issues regarding
data forwarding within a company or abroad. Judge Török spoke
about the legal amendments concerning corporate insolvency,
introduced as a result of Hungary’s EU accession. Taxation
issues were the topic of the last presentation and the speaker,
Iván Vadász, discussed the taxation and accountings aspects
of liabilities.
Finance Minister names state-owned companies up for sale
in 2005
THE STATE WILL SELL ITS SHARES IN OIL AND GAS COMPANY MOL,
as well as its stakes in terrestrial broadcaster Antenna
Hungária, Ferihegy airport operator Budapest Airport and
Land Credit and Mortgage Bank (FHB), Finance Minister Tibor
Draskovics said at a conference held by the Finance Ministry
in Budapest. Draskovics declined to comment on the planned
dates of the transactions. Draskovics said, "As previously,
we intend to avoid MOL becoming the target for a buyout." Draskovics
did not answer whether the state's remaining stake in MOL
would be sold at once or in parts. The state holds 11.82%
of MOL stakes and 12.43% of voting rights. Draskovics said
the privatization of FHB must be conducted in such a way
that mortgage-backed bonds issued by the bank do not lose
their value. 53% of FHB is stateowned. There are no plans
to sell state-run lottery Szerencsejáték Rt. Draskovics said
the company "need not be sold, but (selling it) would
be useful, allowing the state to collect future revenue from
dividends revenue in one go."
Magyar Posta, Hungary's postal service, will not be privatized
in the medium-term, because it is not yet ready for sale.
The Volán long-distance bus companies cannot be privatized
in their current state because of regulations and the financing
system. The sale of Hungarian Electricity Works (MVM) is
not being considered because the structure of the company
and regulations do not allow it. Although Hungarian railways
MÁV is held by the State Privatization and Holding Company
(APV), it will not be sold in the foreseeable future, Draskovics
said.
The minister announced that institutional privatization
would come to an end in 2005. He noted that a bill on the
management of general government, the budget and state assets
was being drafted. Draskovics said that according to plans
the bill would be completed by the end of 2005. He added
that the new act or acts would stipulate tighter supervision
of the budget and would improve the efficiency of the use
of funds. The Treasury Asset Management (KVI) and APV will
probably be merged.
APV chairman Tamás Mészáros confirmed that new bids will
be invited for state-owned airline Malév in the near future.
APV will be more flexible when evaluating undertakings to
settle Malév's debts and will not insist on the winning bidder
maintaining Malév's role as a national airline. Interest
in Malév remains keen, with new potential investors coming
forward. Meszáros did not divulge names.
Building industry outlook for 2005 bleak
HUNGARY'S CONSTRUCTION COMPANIES HAVE A PESSIMISTIC OUTLOOK
FOR GROWTH IN 2005, ACCORDING TO TIBOR TOLNAY, WHO HEADS
THE BUILDING ASSOCIATION EVOSZ. Building construction
is seen growing little this year, analysts said. The industry
is also suffering a severe shortage of trained workers.
The construction industry was expected to grow by 6.5%
in 2004, up from 2% in 2003, but experts expect a slowdown
as investments are projected to increase just 8% this
year,
compared to 12.7% in 2004. The industry accounts for
about 7.4% of Hungary's GDP. In the early 1990s, Hungary's
construction
industry was able to hire from a pool of 200,000 trained
workers. The number halved in a decade and is on a decreasing
trend. If Hungary is to make use of EU infrastructure
money, the country could need as many as 100,000 qualified
construction
workers by 2007, Tolnay said, citing the need for training
reforms. Tolnay named several other steps that could
be taken to improve the industry's as well as the country's
situation. The government should make subsidies available
to SMEs in the construction industry to allow them to
purchase
equipment, he said. Hungary's building code should be
completed by 2005, and EU building standards should be translated
into Hungarian. Minister without portfolio in charge
of
regional development István Kolber has a more positive
outlook for the industry's future. He said the industry
would grow 8% in 2005, mainly because of HUF 276 billion
in subsidies for home construction, and HUF 101 billion
for regional development programs.
T-Mobile, Pannon get
15-year 3G license for combined HUF 36 billion
MOBILE SERVICE PROVIDER T-MOBILE WILL PAY A NET HUF 17
BILLION FOR A 15-YEAR LICENSE TO USE A FREQUENCY BAND
SUITABLE FOR
PROVIDING THIRD-GENERATION (3G) SERVICES, AND PEER PANNON
GSM WILL PAY HUF 19 BILLION FOR ANOTHER BAND LIKE IT, THE
NATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATIONS AUTHORITY (NHH) ANNOUNCED. The
two companies will launch 3G services Jan. 1, 2006, most
likely starting in Budapest. Both companies, which are already
established in Hungary, bid in a tender for four 3G-frequency
bands Nov. 2, 2004. Negotiations on a third band with Hungary's
third GSM company, Vodafone, were under way. The tender for
the fourth band, reserved for a newcomer, was declared unsuccessful.
Bids were disqualified because the bidders failed to provide
satisfactory bank guarantees, National Telecommunications
Authority (NHH) chairman Dániel Pataki said. Bidders for
this band were TDC A/S of Denmark and Tele2 of Sweden. T-Mobile
is 100% owned by Matáv, majority owned by Deutsche Telecom.
Pannon GSM is the subsidiary of Telenor of Norway and Vodafone
is owned by UK's Vodafone. T-Mobile and Pannon GSM each paid
HUF 5.5 billion to the state last year and will pay the remainder
of the purchase in three installments over the next three
years. Pannon GSM deputy-CEO Gyôzô Drozdy said the company
won the band that suited it most. Pannon GSM also acquired
an additional 1,800MHz frequency band. IT and Telecommunications
Minister Kálmán Kovács said the agreements were good and
the government's expectations were met. Kovács added that
the gross HUF 45 billion offered for the two bands showed
that the government was right when setting the date for the
3G tender. Kovács said the price was high, but acceptable,
and added that the success of the bidding showed that the
government did well when defining the tasks and responsibilities
of the NHH. When asked about the "D" band, Kovács
said no new bids would be invited for the band for the time
being. The minister said the experiences of the launch of
3G services would be analyzed before new bids are invited.
Paks Nuclear Power Plant signs contract with Skoda JS on
supply of driving systems
THE PAKS NUCLEAR POWER PLANT HAS SIGNED A CONTRACT WITH
SKODA JS, A UNIT OF RUSSIA'S UNITED HEAVY MACHINERY (OMZ),
TO SUPPLY
OPERATING AND SECURITY SYSTEMS WORTH ABOUT EUR 20 MILLION.
Paks refused to disclose the price. The systems need to
be replaced between 2005 and 2007, as their 25-year lifespan
was up. Skoda was the original supplier of the systems
and
has been partly responsible for their upkeep. Although
OMZ said in its statement that the sale was intended
to extend
the life of Paks, this is only indirectly true. Each of
Paks's four blocks will reach the end of its lifespan
between 2012
and 2017, but the process of getting the permission to
extend the plant's life is a long and ongoing process.
Paks must
get permission from Hungary's own atomic energy agency
by the end of 2007, five years before the first of Paks's
blocks
reaches the end of its lifespan. To extend the life of
operation will also require permission from parliament.
Parliament's
energy committee voiced its support for a HUF 17.9 billion
project Nov. 10 to extend the life span of the plant by
20 years. The plant is Hungary's only source of nuclear
power
and generates about 40% of the country's electricity. If
the plant were to be replaced with power plants that burn
carbon-based fuel, Hungary's carbon dioxide emissions would
rise by 30%. There are no security, technical or economic
reasons not to go ahead with the project. The West European
Nuclear Regulators' Association (WENRA) gave the plant
the same rating as it had to nuclear power plants around
the
same age in other developed industrial countries. Paks
would finance the project with its cash flow, and the
owner would
see the return on the invested capital of HUF 554.5 billion
over the 20 years. This year, Paks has a contract with
MVM to sell it 10,584GWh of electricity, with an option
for a
further 1,825GWh. Paks had already sold 5,108GWh to MVM
by June 30, 2004. Paks sells its electricity for HUF
8.30/kWh,
the lowest price in Hungary. Even the second-lowest price
is almost HUF 2 more. The highest price for electricity
in Hungary is HUF 17.65 per kWh. Paks has four blocks,
each
with a 470MW capacity. Paks aims to expand each of the
block's capacities to between 500MW and 510MW by 2006.
Cigarette price wars could mean HUF 3.1 billion less budget
revenue
HUNGARY'S LARGEST CIGARETTE MAKERS STARTED A PRICE WAR
EACH CUTTING THE PRICE OF THEIR BIGGEST BRANDS BY 12%. The
price
reduction in itself could mean HUF 3.1 billion less annual
VAT and excise duty revenue for the central budget, but
it could also boost cigarette sales, if smokers who buy smuggled
cigarettes turn back to the domestic brands which could
compensate
the loss.
British American Tobacco Magyarország (BAT), Hungary's leading
cigarette maker, lowered the price of its Pall Mall brand
from HUF 500 (EUR 2) to HUF 440 in late November. Hungary's
second-biggest cigarette maker, Philip Morris, responded
by trimming HUF 60 off the price of its Multifilter brand,
which also sold for HUF 500. The two brands have moved from
the mid-priced category of cigarettes to the lowpriced category.
The HUF 60 price reductions mean HUF 25.8 less excise duty
and VAT per pack, Zsolt Jamniczky, director of Philip Morris
told journalists. The excise duty on cigarettes in Hungary
is a flat HUF 6,450 per 1,000 cigarettes, or HUF 129 per
pack, plus 23% of the retail sales price. Additionally, a
25% VAT rate is included in the price. The reduction translates
into HUF 3.1 billion less in budget revenues a year, considering
the two companies sell a combined 120 million packs of the
brands annually. Multifilter sales account for around 11%
of total cigarettes sales in Hungary each year and Pall Mall
sales make up 5%. If smaller producers slash their prices,
the impact could be even larger. Jamnitzky said Philip Morris
does not plan to cut the price of other brands but will closely
watch peers' moves. There are four companies on the Hungarian
cigarette market: BAT, with a 46% market share, Philip Morris
with 33%, Imperial Tobacco with 15% and Continental with
6%. The market has been stagnating or shrinking for the past
several years. Legal sales fell 7% to 18.6 billion cigarettes
in 2003 and are expected to drop to 15 billion cigarettes,
due to fewer smokers and more smuggled cigarettes. Cigarettes
brought into the country illegally account for between 20%
and 35% of total sales, according to industry insiders, who
added it was not so surprising considering excise taxes more
than doubled in the two years before EU accession. The price
cuts are likely to result in a "whitening" of the
economy, namely a rise in legal sales which generates additional
tax revenue, Finance Ministry spokesman Ferenc Pichler said.
He added that the ministry is studying whether this additional
revenue could offset the revenue lost because of the lower
prices.
Landline penetration falls to 35.3% by the end of Q3
THE NUMBER OF LANDLINES PER 100 HUNGARIANS DROPPED TO 35.3
BY THE END OF Q3, THE CENTRAL STATISTICS OFFICE (KSH)
ANNOUNCED. ISDN LINES CONTINUED TO ACCOUNT FOR 17% OF ALL
LANDLINES.
Mobile phone penetration was 82.7% at the end of Q3 last
year, up from 81.1pc in the previous quarter, and up
8.1% from Q3 2003. The number of calls initiated from landlines,
including Internet dial-up calls, was 783 million, a
drop
of 8.8% from 2003. The overall duration of calls made
with landlines was 2.4 billion minutes in Q3 2004, down 10%
from a year before. The number of Internet dial-up calls
dropped 16.1%, and their duration fell 11.2%. Dial-up
Internet
calls dropped steadily throughout the year, which signals
a decline in dial-up connections and increased use of
broadband Internet. In the mobile phone segment, the number
of calls
initiated rose by 40 million, and the overall duration
of calls rose 99 million minutes. The average duration
of each landline call fell to 3 minutes, and that of
mobile calls rose to 90 seconds in Q3. Excluding dial-up
Internet
calls of an average duration of 14.8 minutes, landline
calls lasted an average 138 seconds. Calls launched from
mobile phones lasted an average 6 seconds more than in
the previous quarter, and an average 12 seconds more
than in the same quarter last year. The average monthly duration
of calls was 235 minutes, up 7 minutes from the peak
measured
in Q2 2004. At the end of Q3 2004 there were 675,000
Internet users in Hungary: 44% of all users had dial-up connections,
5% of all users had ISDN connections, 27% of users had
xDSL connections, 17% had cable TV connections and 5%
of
all users had wireless internet connections. Net sales
from provision of Internet services totaled nearly HUF
11 billion, down 0.3% from Q2, but up 37% from Q3 2003.
Net sales dropped as the number of users rose, a result
of special offers attached to xDSL and cable TV subscriptions.
In Q3 the 331,000 dial-up users connected to the Internet
46 million times, down 12% from Q2, and spent an overall
580 million minutes on the Internet, down 18%. A dial-up
user connected an average 1.5 times daily to the Internet
and spent an average 20 minutes browsing in Q3 2004.
Concorde launches film trust to support film industry
CONCORDE
ÉRTÉKPAPÍR, THE LEADING BROKERAGE FIRM IN THE DOMESTIC
MARKET, HAS COME UP WITH A NOVELTY: A FILM TRUST. The trust
is attractive
to investors not because of the tax writeoff it offers. Under
the Act on Motion Pictures, which came into force in April
2004, businesses that support film production with cash subsidies
- basically donations - may deduct 100% of this subsidy from
their tax base as well as from their payable taxes. The tax
break has some conditions: investors may write off no more
than 70% of their payable taxes and they may not deduct any
more than 20% of the total production costs of any one film,
but the write-off is still extraordinary, providing investors
with a return - in the form of a deduction - of HUF 116 on
every HUF 100. Concorde set up a trust, which will invest
in film productions in order to take advantage of these write-offs.
The "Concorde Film Trust," currently has HUF 500
million in assets and expects to increase the figure to over
HUF 2 billion in 2005, Concorde Client Director Mihály Boris
said. The money, which has come from dozens of businesses
and banks, is already being used to finance 20% of the production
costs of 16 films, including Hungarian films and films co-produced
with other countries. (The tax write-offs apply to subsidies
for foreign as well as Hungarian films, as long as production
takes place in Hungary.) Most of the films sponsored so far
were in the post-production stage.
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